Dubai Marina, Dubai Harbour and Ain Dubai seen from above Palm Jumeirah

The Dubai property market

Will Dubai property prices go down in 2026?

Not so far — they have levelled off.A completed home now resells for a typical AED 1,406 a square foot — 2% more than a year ago — on the Dubai Land Department’s own register.

The short answer

Not so far — they have levelled off. McCone Properties' count of the 9,437 resales registered with the Dubai Land Department over the three months to September 2026 puts a completed home in Dubai at a typical AED 1,406 a square foot — 2% more than the same months a year earlier and 4% below its high in the three months to April 2026. What has fallen is the number of sales: resales are down 34% and off-plan sales down 40% on the same months a year earlier.

By Sam McCone, Managing Partner · Updated 16 Oct 2026 · 32,553 sales in the three months to September 2026

Last three months
+2%
AED 1,406 a sqft, against 1,375 a year earlier
Last twelve months
+5%
median AED 1,431 a sqft, against 1,360
From the high
−4%
the high: AED 1,462, the three months to April 2026
Number of sales
−34%
resales on a year earlier · off-plan −40%

The direction

Are Dubai property prices falling?

The typical price of a square foot of home sold in Dubai, over each three months of the last 2 years — the three monthly medians averaged, each weighted by its number of sales. One month's median moves with the mix of what sold; three together show the direction.

Three months to September 2026
AED 1,406a sq ft · 9,437 resales+2% on a year earlier
1,500
1,350
1,200
high 1,462
Oct 24Mar 25Sept 25Mar 26Sept 26

Hover overTap the chart for any month. The axis starts at AED 1,200, not zero, so the direction shows.

The climb has stopped rather than reversed: the reading peaked at AED 1,462 a foot in the three months to April 2026 and stands at AED 1,406 over the three months to September 2026 — 4% below the high, and still 2% more than a year earlier. The longer view, every year since the register began, is the Dubai property price index.

Every month, in figures
MonthResalesMedian AED/sqftOn the yearOff-plan salesOff-plan AED/sqft
September 20263,1191,394+2%6,6331,742
August 20262,9821,442+6%7,6481,737
July 20263,3361,385−1%8,8351,741
June 20262,9691,413+2%8,9261,733
May 20262,3111,375−1%6,7061,715
April 20262,8511,463+6%9,5001,931
March 20263,0131,417+3%9,2261,822
February 20264,7331,489+10%10,0301,830
January 20264,2271,454+7%10,2791,850
December 20254,5341,439+7%12,9281,863
November 20254,7951,425+12%12,2621,875
October 20255,3201,382+4%12,5711,782
September 20254,4921,364+12%13,9731,800

Completed-home resales and off-plan sales registered at the Dubai Land Department, every residential property type, through 16 Oct 2026; a month appears once the register holds all of it, and each links its own report. The month’s median moves with what sold as well as with what it sold for — a month heavy with villas reads dearer than one heavy with studios — which is why the chart reads three months at a time. Off-plan is priced beside the resales and never blended in: a launch price is a developer’s schedule, not a market.

The number of sales

Fewer sales, not lower prices

Every sale registered each month, off-plan below and completed-home resales above. A count, so the bars start from nothing.

Off-planResale
Oct 24Mar 25Sept 25Mar 26Sept 26

Over the three months to September 2026, 9,437 completed homes and 23,116 off-plan homes changed hands, against 14,253 and 38,737 in the same months a year earlier — resales down 34%, off-plan down 40%. Fewer homes are selling, at much the same prices. In most property markets the number of sales turns before the price does, which is why it is the first figure to watch. Each month’s busiest communities and towers are in the monthly market reports.

McCone Properties agents on the office floor in Dubai, one checking his phone and laughing
Read every night, by the people who sell Dubai every day.

Where

Where Dubai prices are rising, and where they are falling

The 57 communities with 100 or more completed-home resales over the last twelve months: the median price per square foot over those twelve months against the twelve before. 41 rose and 12 fell. Find yours.

CommunityCheaperDearerAED/sqft

A community’s figure is the median of every completed home resold in it — its towers, villas and townhouses together — so a year in which more villas sold reads dearer. Each name links the community’s own page, where its towers and layouts are read separately. Communities under 100 resales a year are left out: a median of a few dozen sales moves with which homes happened to sell.

By size of home

What each size of home sold for in September 2026

Completed homes resold in September 2026, by layout, against the same month a year earlier — layouts with ten or more resales in the month.

Studio
1,264
AED a sq ft · +1%
530 resales · was 1,255
One-bedroom
1,315
AED a sq ft · +5%
981 resales · was 1,248
Two-bedroom
1,536
AED a sq ft · +7%
678 resales · was 1,436
Three-bedroom
1,713
AED a sq ft · +4%
329 resales · was 1,654
Four-bedroom
1,458
AED a sq ft · +6%
143 resales · was 1,372

One month against one month, so read the direction rather than the decimal. The whole month — its dearest sales, busiest towers and every layout — is in the September 2026 report.

What next

Will Dubai property prices go down in 2027?

We do not publish a forecast — nobody can read 2027 off a register of what has already sold. These are the four figures that would move first, as they stand today.

Number of sales
down 34%

Resales over the three months to September 2026 on a year earlier, and off-plan sales down 40%. Sales usually turn before prices do; a market where fewer homes sell for longer is one where sellers start to give way.

The three-month reading
+2%

On a year earlier, and 4% off its high. The answer at the top of this page changes the night this drops below a year earlier.

Breadth
41 of 57

Communities dearer over the last twelve months than the twelve before; 12 cheaper. A fall that starts in a few places shows here before it shows in the city's median.

Off-plan premium
+26%

Off-plan homes sell at a median AED 1,801 a square foot against completed ones. That gap is paid for a new home and a payment plan; as those homes are handed over, they are resold beside the ones already standing.

Rents are read the same way, from the Ejari register, on will Dubai rents go down?; what a dirham put into Dubai property has done over ten and twenty years is on property investment in Dubai.

Questions

Dubai property prices: the questions people ask next

Is the Dubai property market going to crash?

Nothing in the Land Department's register points to one so far. A crash shows first as prices falling month after month across most of the city; in McCone Properties' count of the register, the typical resale over the three months to September 2026 was 2% more than a year earlier, and 41 of the 57 communities with 100 or more resales a year sold dearer over the last twelve months than the twelve before, and 12 cheaper. What has changed is the pace: resales are down 34% and off-plan sales down 40% on the same months a year earlier.

Will Dubai property prices go down in 2027?

We do not publish a forecast, and nobody can read 2027 off a register of what has already sold. What McCone Properties' reading of the register shows going in: the typical resale is 2% more than a year earlier, sales are down 34% for completed homes and down 40% off-plan, and off-plan homes sell at a 26% premium to completed ones. In most property markets the number of sales turns before the price does, so the volume is the figure to watch first. This page re-reads the register every night, and its answer changes the night the three-month reading drops below a year earlier.

How much have Dubai property prices gone up in the last year?

About 5%, on McCone Properties' count of the Land Department's register. The median completed home resold over the last twelve months went for AED 1,431 a square foot, against AED 1,360 over the twelve months before, on 43,247 resales registered with the Dubai Land Department to 16 Oct 2026. The three-month reading, which turns faster, is 2% more than a year earlier.

Which areas of Dubai are seeing prices fall?

McCone Properties' count of the register finds that, of the 57 communities with 100 or more resales a year, 12 sold cheaper over the last twelve months than the twelve before: Jumeirah Golf Estates (−16%), Damac Hills 2 (−15%), Arabian Ranches 3 (−9%), Al Barari (−8%), Dubai Science Park (−8%) and Majan (−6%), and 6 more. 41 were dearer. The full list is on this page, each linking its own recorded history.

Is now a good time to buy property in Dubai?

That turns on what you pay and how long you hold, not on the city's average — the same week a tower can sell well under its own median and another well over. What McCone Properties' count of the register says about the market as a whole: the typical resale is 2% more than a year earlier, and the market is quieter — resales down 34% on the same months a year before. Every community and building on this site carries its own recorded prices, which is the place to start for a particular home.

Two of the McCone Properties team laughing with a client across a meeting table in the office.

Selling with McCone

What would your home sell for this month?

Tell us the building and the layout. An agent who works it will come back with what the register says it sold for, what is on the market beside you, and the price we would list it at — in writing, before anything is signed.

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Where these numbers come from. Every figure on this page is drawn from the Dubai Land Department’s transaction register, read directly from the Dubai Data Exchange. It is what buyers actually paid, recorded at transfer — not asking prices, not valuations, not our own estimates. Mortgage registrations, gift transfers, rent-to-own contracts and developers’ own filings are all excluded; none of them is a price a buyer paid. Medians are used rather than averages so one unusual sale cannot move the number. Data through 16 Oct 2026.